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Micron Leads Wall Street’s Trillion-Dollar Stock Picks, but Memory’s Boom-and-Bust Risk Remains

Micron Leads Wall Street’s Trillion-Dollar Stock Picks, but Memory’s Boom-and-Bust Risk Remains

Micron Technology stands out among trillion-dollar companies tracked by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target implying more upside than targets for Broadcom or Nvidia. The comparison covers 56 analysts for Micron, 53 for Broadcom and 72 for Nvidia; the median targets imply gains of 70%, 54% and 45%, respectively, based on the prices cited in the analysis.

Micron makes DRAM, NAND flash and high-bandwidth memory used in data centers, personal computers, mobile devices and vehicles. Demand for memory has surged alongside artificial-intelligence infrastructure, pushing DRAM and NAND prices sharply higher over the past two years.

Chief Executive Sanjay Mehrotra said memory and storage supply-demand conditions were expected to be tighter in fiscal 2027 and 2028 than in fiscal 2026.

Construction advanced to vertical work in July after the first concrete pour occurred more than one quarter ahead of the original schedule. The company also raised planned U.S.

Micron is expanding elsewhere as well. Its Idaho projects are expected to produce first wafers from the first fab in mid-2027 and from the second in late 2028, while initial production of a DDR4 technology has begun in Virginia.

The investment case still depends on a highly cyclical industry. Memory suppliers have historically added capacity when prices and profits rise, eventually creating oversupply that drives prices and earnings lower. During the last major downturn, DRAM and NAND prices fell about 70% from their early-2021 peaks to late 2023, while Micron shares at one point fell 50% from their 2022 high.

Artificial-intelligence demand could make the present cycle different, but that remains an investment thesis rather than a confirmed outcome. At the same time, new facilities planned by Micron and other major producers could add substantial supply over the next several years.

Micron’s shares trade at about 12 times earnings on the figures provided, while the supplied analyst estimates call for earnings growth of 72% annually over the next three years. The valuation could look inexpensive if demand remains strong, but the stock’s history shows that a sharp decline is possible if the memory market turns into oversupply. The central question for investors is whether AI-driven demand and the shift toward higher-value memory products can offset the industry’s traditional capacity cycle.

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